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INVESTMENT CLIMATE AND THE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS OF AZERBAIJAN
By Elmar Mammadov
Master's Degree in Economics
Academy of the Public Administration under
the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan

Elmar Mammadov
GENERAL INFORMATION ABOUT THE COUNTRY

Flag of Azerbaijan

The Republic of Azerbaijan is situated at the crossroads of the East and the West and has a territory of 86,600 square kilometres. It's bordered by the Caucasus mountain range in the north, the Caspian Sea in the east, Georgia and Armenia in the west, the Russian Federation in the north, Iran in the south and Turkey in the south-west. The population of the country is 8 million people. Azeris constitute 83% of the population; other ethnic groups include Russians, Georgians, Ukrainians, Lezgins etc. Total number of Azeris in the world approximates 40 million.

Azerbaijan is known as "the land of fire" due to its rich oil and gas resources. Almost 55% of the country's population lives in urban areas. Administratively the republic is divided into 65 rural regions. There are 11 towns under the Republican administration (Baku, Ganja, Sumgayit, Ali-Bayramly, Lankaran, Mingechevir, Naftalan, Khankendi, Sheki, Guba, Shusha). Baku, Ganja and Sumgayit are three most important and major industrial centres of the country.

Baku

Baku is the capital of Azerbaijan. Baku means "the city of winds" because of winds blowing throughout the year. Baku is located on the shore of the Caspian Sea. With a population of more than 2 million people it is the cultural, educational and administrative center of the country.

Azerbaijan has a very rich history and culture. It is one of the oldest spots of civilization. The archaeologists date the first human settlement in present day Azerbaijan to the Stone Age. On the territory of historic Azerbaijan there existed such large states as Manna, Midia, Atropatena, Caucasian Albania, Arab Caliphate and others. The name "Azerbaijan" is believed to be linked to Atropatena and Albania.

Baku

In the history of Azerbaijan the 20th century is the period of radical changes in the cultural, political, social and economic life. Azerbaijan had declared its first independence on May 1918 but this independence was short-lived. The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 marked a new stage in the history of Azerbaijan: the country restored its independence and embarked upon a challenging process of democracy building and social-economic transformation.

The New Constitution of Azerbaijan was adopted in 1995. The system of government administration of the Republic of Azerbaijan is based on the principles of separation of powers: legislative, executive and judicial. The head of state is the President. He is vested with executive power and is elected for a five-year term by direct elections. The legislative power is vested with Milli Mejlis - a one chamber Parliament that consists of 125 deputies elected on the basis of a majority and proportional electoral system and general, equal, direct elections for a 5-year term. The Cabinet of Ministers, headed by the Prime Minister is the supreme body of the executive power. The judicial power is vested with the independent courts of Azerbaijan: Constitutional Court, Supreme Court and High Economic Court. The official language of the country is the Azerbaijani language spoken by 95% of the population. Islam is practised by a large part of the population. However, the government has created a benign environment for the society to practice other various confessions, as the Constitution prescribes the separation between the state and the religion.

Baku

Azerbaijan is on the way to become a full-fledged member of the world economy regardless of certain problems related to the transition from a centrally-planned to a market economy and from the totalitarian communist system to a democratic society. These problems, encompassing all spheres of social life, are typical for all countries of the former Socialist Bloc. However, the distinctive feature of the situation in Azerbaijan that aggravates the problems the newly-independent country is currently facing, is its involvement in the military conflict with neighbouring Armenia over the Nagorno Karabakh district of the Republic of Azerbaijan. As a result of this conflict 20% of the territory of the Republic of Azerbaijan was occupied and more than one million Azerbaijanis became refugees and internally displaced persons (IDPs).
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In 1994 a cease-fire between the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Republic of Armenia was achieved. At the OSCE Budapest Summit in December 1994 with the aim to ensure a common and agreed basis for negotiations and to realize full coordination in all mediation activities, the co-chairmanship of the Minsk Group was established. The Minsk Group that was instructed to conduct negotiations for the conclusion of a political agreement on the cessation of the armed conflict was set under the auspices of the OSCE and is presently co-chaired by the United States, the Russian Federation and France.

Notwithstanding hardships that derived from the conflict, Azerbaijan has achieved to become one of the most successful among the NIS countries in terms of political and economic stability.

MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT.

Since 1996, the economic decline has been halted and an upward trend of the GDP growth is currently under way. In 1996 the real GDP growth was 1.3 %; it reached 5.8% in 1997, 10 % in 1998, 7.4 % in 1999 and 11.4 % in 2000, 9.9 % in 2001, 10.6% in 2002. GDP per capita equalled $714.3 in 2001 and $756 in 2002. The share of private sector in GDP has considerably increased and reached 73% in 2002.

During previous years the government was successful in retaining a relatively low rate of inflation. Constituting 1600 % in 1994 it was decreased to 3% and currently remains stable. Currently, the ratio of the country's budget deficit to GDP is 1.8 %. The share of the budget in the country's GDP constituted 41.3 % in 1993, 22.4% in 1997, 16.6 % in 1998, 15.2% in 2000, 14.5% in 2001 and 13.3% in 2002. The reduction of the given indicator was followed by the appropriate increase of GDP that confirms the necessity to further reduce the state interference in the economy.

It is necessary to indicate that the analysis of the economic transformation of Azerbaijan shows that the pace of economic growth is inversely dependent on the scale of state regulation.

Foreign currency reserves, including the assets of the recently established Oil Fund, exceed $ 1.3 bln, which in its turn equals to the country's import for a term of 6-7 months.
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES.


Azerbaijan's economy is diversified and offers promising prospects for future investors in oil and gas production, oil-refining, engineering, metallurgy, chemical, petrochemical, light and food industries, construction, agriculture (cotton, tea, tobacco, silk worms, vine-growing, vegetables, fruits) and other sectors. Besides, rich reserves of iron ore, zinc ore, molybdenum ore, alunite, rock salt, gypsum, limestone, bitumen, clay and marble are used in industrial exploitation.

Oily Azerbaijan

In the international division of labour, Azerbaijan has a proven track record of oil extraction and refining, chemical, electro-mechanical industries, oil engineering and machine building, ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy industries, production of building materials, light and food industries. More than half of the GDP derives from industry, 70% of which is concentrated on the Apsheron peninsula and consists of oil and oil refining industries, chemical, electro-technical, engineering, ferrous metallurgy.

Azerbaijan has been steadily moving towards the creation of a market economy with a strong emphasis on economic liberalisation and private sector development. A legal framework existing in the country provides good incentives for foreign investors. From 1992 to the present the Parliament (Milli Mejlis) of Azerbaijan adopted a great number of top-priority laws, which regulate the reforms in economy and include Law on Protection of Foreign Investments, Property Law, Law on Land Reform, Law on Privatization of State Property, Law on Joint-Stock Companies, Law on Entrepreneurial Activity, Law on Bankruptcy, Law on Securities and Stock Exchange, Tax Code, Customs Code etc. The next State Investment Program is being elaborated, with two similar programs successfully implemented for a period of 1997-1999 and 1998-2000.

The most recent development on the side of the government in creating a reliable investment climate is the so-called "Package of Four Presidential Decrees", which calls for the establishment of the Council of (both local and foreign) Entrepreneurs, the National Fund for Entrepreneurship Development, the State Programme on Small & Medium Enterprises Development, the Additional Measures in the Area of State Support to Business Development, and the Prevention of Interferences Impeding the Development of Entrepreneurship.

A considerable step towards a progressive administrative reform and separation of policy from commercial functions have been made with a number of ministries amalgamated and new ministries established.

The Government of Azerbaijan continues to make every effort to ensure an environment conducive to acceleration of the investment process in the country. According to the 1994-2002 figures, more than $12.4 bln. were invested in the country's economy, $8.9 bln. of them being foreign investments. These figures suggest the good economic performance of a country with a relatively small population. The main part of foreign investments is concentrated in the energy sector.

The recent rating by the OECD, awarding Azerbaijan with the 6-th level investment risk, is also a significant indicator of the country's investment climate improvement. It is worthy to note that along with Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia are the only CIS countries having been awarded a similar rating.

Today, Azerbaijan is open again for a mutually beneficial collaboration. The attraction of foreign investments in energy sector that constitutes the cornerstone of the country's economy has a special importance. Since 1994, the Republic of Azerbaijan has concluded 21 agreements on development of hydrocarbon resources of the country with participation of 33 companies from 15 states; in 30 years to come, foreign investments in the oil and gas sector will total approximately $60 bln. The volume of the extracted oil will reach 40-45 mln. tons in 2010-2015. In the coming 5 years only, some $10 bln. will be invested in the energy sector.

ENERGY SECTOR.

Azerbaijan has a unique history in the petroleum industry. It is a well-known fact that oil has been produced by industrial methods in Azerbaijan for about 150 years. By 1911, half of the world oil had been produced in Azerbaijan. The most critical factor that accelerated the dynamic development of the petroleum industry was an active involvement of both local and foreign manufactures and investors in all phases of exploration, recovery, transportation, refinery and marketing of oil and oil products. It is worth recollecting the names of oil producers and oil companies that operated in the Azerbaijan market, such as Nobel Brothers and their famous "The Nobel Brother's Partnership", Shell Transport and then Royal Dutch Shell, the Rothschilds' Bank House and some others. The contribution of Azeri oil producers such as Tagiyev, Assadullayev, Nagiyev, Mukhtarov and many others was also of great importance for the development of the petroleum industry in Azerbaijan. The natural course of historical development was broken of by the 1917-1920 events crowned with the establishment of the Soviet regime in Azerbaijan and continued until the state independence was regained in early 1990.

Azerbaijan is an important link in growing business of a number of the world's leading energy companies (BP Amoco plc., ExxonMobil, ChevronTexaco, ElfTotalFina and etc.) in the Caspian region. On September 20, 1994 the "Contract of the Century" was signed, marking the wide-scaled opening up of the Caspian depths in the oil fields of "Azeri", "Chirag" and "Guneshli". Henceforth, the anniversary of this event has been celebrated as the oil industry workers' day each year.

The construction of the Main Export Pipeline (MEP) of Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan which will bind the country with partnership ties with Georgia and Turkey, will open the access of the Caspian oil to the Black and Mediterranean Seas. This project received the exotic name of "the Legend of Three Seas". Nevertheless, today this legend is by right becoming reality. Azerbaijan, along with partners, also exports crude oil through other three channels - namely, the Baku-Novorossiysk (Russia) pipeline, the Baku-Supsa (Georgia) pipeline, and the Baku-Batumi (Georgia) railway.

Likewise, the Government also pushes towards another mega-project of the South Caucasian Gas Pipeline, which, once in full operation, will enable Azerbaijan and its partners to market the Caspian natural gas in Turkish and other European markets. All in one would constitute a healthy regional energy infrastructure, which in its most candid manner will propel the regional economy into further integration with the international economy.

The length of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan MEP makes up 1760 kilometres, 1070 km of which will be laid in the territory of Turkey. The cost of the MEP is estimated at around $3 bln. The energy corridor of the East-West will act as a catalyst for new investments in the region, will strengthen the energy security in the world as a whole, and will assist the integration of the countries of the Caspian in the world economy. The measures of overall safety, a peaceful way of development, the ideology of friendship and cooperation, undoubtedly, will raise the prestige of the Republic of Azerbaijan in a global scale. The United States of America, Great Britain, Norway, France, Italy and other countries actively participate in the process of the development of the hydrocarbon resources of the country.

AGRICULTURE



constitutes an important part of the country's economy and accounts for 20 per cent of the GDP. Azerbaijan is specialized in the cultivation of vegetables, fruit, cotton, tobacco, subtropical cultures, silkworm and sheep breeding. Land privatization has fostered establishment of farms throughout the country. Presently, 34129 rural farms, 182 production co-operative societies, 458 small enterprises and 1757 collective enterprises operate in the country. As a result of these reforms the crisis in the agrarian sector has been overcome. This process ensures the speed-up of the growth of agricultural output. The Government closely cooperates with the UN Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO), the World Bank's International Fund on Agricultural Development (IFAD) and the EU's TACIS Program on the issues of agricultural restructuring.

Equally important is the progress achieved in the development of INFORMATION COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES (ICT) deemed to be one of the core priorities of Azerbaijan's economic development agenda.

The level of application of ICT is known to be one of the main indicators of a country's intellectual and scientific potential as well as democracy and transparency of state governance. The importance of electronic commerce in the world markets is predetermined by increasing dependence of competitiveness of countries on their efficient use of ICT. Global experience shows that broad use of ICT serves for the purpose of fostering overall development of countries and these technologies are effective means in attaining poverty reduction and addressing socio-economic problems.

Concrete steps in use of ICT have been recently taken in the Republic of Azerbaijan. The National Information and Communication Technologies Strategy for Development of the Republic of Azerbaijan for 2003-2012 was adopted early in 2003. Azerbaijan closely cooperates with a number of international organizations, including UNDP and International Trade Centre, jointly established by UNCTAD and WTO, on successful implementation of the Strategy.

Furthermore, highly skilled human resources of Azerbaijan, combined with the country's good economic performance, offer high prospects for the development ICT sector in the country.

Azerbaijan has also a great potential for developing the Tourism Industry. Favourably located between Europe and Asia, in the heart of the Trans-Caucasian transport corridor, Azerbaijan has unique natural and climatic features. Due to the diversity and the sea factor, 9 of 11 climatic zones with rich flora and fauna are represented here: from subtropical to alpine meadows.



More than 1000 rivers flow through the country. Kura is the longest river. All rivers of the country flow into the Caspian Sea. River water is used for irrigation and fishery. Azerbaijan is renowned for its numerous mineral waters. The most well-known springs are Istisu, Turshsu and Badamly. There are no big lakes in Azerbaijan but the number of small lakes reaches 250. The mountainous lakes are of tectonic, glacier origin or man made. The most famous among them are Göygöl (at 1556m height.), Major and Minor Alagöl lakes (at 2730m. height). Recreation centres such as Hajikend, Azad, Chaykend, Aghsu and resorts such as Chukhuryurd attract tourists from abroad.

There are more than 6 thousand architectural monuments of historical importance preserved in the territory of Azerbaijan among which one can name a unique museum-reservation "Gobustan", the fire-worshippers' temple "Ateshgah", the Palace of Shirvanshakhs, the Maiden's Tower. Furthermore, ancient cities, fortresses, palaces, mausoleums, mosques, "karavansarays" (guest houses) represent interest form both scientific and tourist point of view. Cultural traditions and delicious national cuisine of Azerbaijan are famous among foreigners.

The development of tourism in Azerbaijan takes on special significance. Participation of Azerbaijani companies in international and domestic tourist fairs, reconstruction and restoration of tourist infrastructure, development of hotels industry etc. are important tools for fostering development of the sector.

Azerbaijan actively contributes to development of international cooperation in the field of tourism and has recently become a member of the World Tourism Organization.

Given the country's potential in the development of tourism, the State Program on Development of Tourism for 2002-2005 was adopted in 2002. Furthermore, the elaboration of the Strategy of Tourism Development in Azerbaijan for 2003 - 2020 is envisaged.

Recent adoption of the State Program on Poverty Reduction and Economic Development For 2003-2005 is a challenging endeavour undertaken by the Government in order to ensure the social protection of the population and stimulate economic growth.

PRIVATIZATION PROCESS.

Another important step of the Government geared towards establishment of self-regulated market economy based on private ownership and free competition is the Program of State Property Privatization.

The first stage of the Program was carried out guided with the principles of transforming the state-owned small and medium-sized enterprises into joint-stock companies and their subsequent privatization. The second stage of the Program became effective since August 10, 2000. There are 7 sale methods envisaged by the Program. The Decree on privatization of enterprises in industries such as telecommunications, airways, fuel and energy, machinery, chemical industry and other legal acts signed by the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan for the last several years, stipulate privatization of state shares of nearly 450 enterprises and 21 joint ventures. These decrees are aimed at attracting investments to achieve efficiency of the privatised enterprises, produce competitive goods and create new jobs.

The decision to authorize public offerings of enterprises by means of individual projects and investment bids as well as to ensure equal opportunities for participation of foreign and local investors in the privatization process is therefore crucial.
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC COOPERATION.


The present stage of the world development is increasingly characterised by globalization and regionalization trends. Azerbaijan exerts all efforts to make its contribution to these processes.

Azerbaijan is a member of more than twenty international economic organisations and has observer status at the World Trade Organization. The Republic of Azerbaijan is striving to become a full-fledged member of the WTO and is convinced that this membership will give a strong impetus to the transformation of the country's economy into a market economy.
Using its advantageous geo-strategic location, rich natural potential and human resources, Azerbaijan is actively engaged in a number of international undertakings such as restoration of the Great Silk Road, creation of the EU-sponsored Europe-Caucasus-Asia transport corridor (TRACECA), the Secretariat of which is based in Baku, and the further development and transportation of hydrocarbon resources of the Caspian Basin to the world markets.

Strong efforts of the Government of the Republic of Azerbaijan to ensure an investor friendly environment, both foreign and domestic, continue. Hence, the doors of Azerbaijan are open both to local entrepreneurs and foreign investors to reap the full benefits the country has to offer.


 

By Elmar MAMMADOV
 

 

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