Over the past months, the government has engaged
reforms within all the different sectors of the
economy. In this regard can you give our readers
a brief overview of the economic and financial
performance of Azerbaijan?
Though we gained independence in 1991, reforms
began 5 years later because of the conflict with
Armenia and foreign aggression. After President
Heydar Aliyev came to power in 1993 army, economy
began to develop in a stable environment.
Beginning 1995 we began reforms in the banking
sector with the support of the international financial
institutions. I have to note that we had a very
old style soviet banking system that was a centralized
planned banking model from structural point of
view. After gaining independence as all of the
post soviet republics we had to create our own
and new banking system and currency. IMF and the
World Bank joint mission has completed the financial
sector assessment programme. And they highly evaluated
the financial sector including the banking sector.
Our main achievement after 8 years of reforms
is the establishment of the financial-banking
sector that fully comply with the requirements
of the world market. And the financial-banking
sector exists and operates within the real market
economy that has been established in the country.
We have passed through 3 generations of bank legislature
in Azerbaijan and very lately we introduced a
draft law on banking in Azerbaijan which totally
answers the standards and European directives
(New Law on Banks passed in January 2004). The
banking sector is the only sector of the economy
of Azerbaijan that has been completely standardized.
So it means that you have set up all the infrastucture
in terms of legislation in order to use those
international standards. When do you expect those
new laws to be enacted for the banking sector
and the National Bank itself?
We have all the legislation and legal basis corresponding
to the European standards. The laws under the
discussion of the Parliament have been worked
out based on the systems of IMF and they fully
answer the European directives which are set for
the whole European Union and starting from January
1, 2004 this law will be in force. The second
law is the European model law. The main principle
of the law is the independence and transparency
of the National Bank as a central bank. These
are the third generation laws. By enacting these
laws we can say we have fully completed the standardization
of the banking system legislature to the international
standards.
Deposit insurance system will be introduced in
the new law January 2004.
The second direction of our reforms is the restructuring
process of the State banks. Before we had 4 State
banks and now we have only 2 and we are going
to start the privatization over those 2 banks.
We want to carry out the privatization with the
support of the international strategic investors
which is very important for Azerbaijan.
At the beginning about 250 banks with very little
capital were established in Azerbaijan. Those
were unstable financial institutions. Now we have
significantly consolidated this system. The total
capital of the banks now makes up $2.5 mn though
at the beginning it was $10,000. Now we have only
45 banks.
Therefore, we shall witness more concentration
and mergers between banks in the near future?
We think that the banking system must be consolidated
and capitalized. At the same time we are for the
institutional difference within the banking system.
We establish microfinancial institutions for poor
people in the regions, create mortgage institutions
to stimulate the construction process. We seriously
think about it and we support its establishment
and expansion.
Private banks presently dominate in this sector
and we think that these banks will be the major
source of economic development in Azerbaijan.
Do you believe banks currently have the means
to be more flexible and adaptable to the small
and medium size companies' needs?
Resources are not enough. But the banking sector
is the most dynamic economic sector in Azerbaijan.
We have higher dynamics in GDP growth rates, people's
deposits. But fast growing private sector needs
more resources. That's why we are thinking of
consolidating of the banking sector and creating
potential for attraction of foreign resources
to the economy, capitalization of the banks. Lately
we have removed all the limits for foreign bank
capital participation in our local banking system
and we are the only CIS country taking this measure.
The law on it passed in the Parliament in December.
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We also assume that great oil revenues of the
country will stimulate the resource capacity growth
in the banking system. The government will introduce
new funds through commercial banks for distribution
of oil revenues for development of the private
sector. The volume of the money distributed through
the commecrial banks will increase in near future.
We use all the opportunities of the international
financial institutions such as the IMF, EBRD,
IFC and others for this purpose.
How would you assess the contribution of the
Oil Fund to the socio-economic development of
the country?
I think the money allocated by the Oil Fund for
the economic development is enough.
We consult with the IMF in terms of macroeconomic
objectives. And you know that too rapid use of
oil revenues for the economic development may
lead to the Holland decease. And we also know
that too small use of the money may not satisfy
the demand for it. That's why we support the optimal
use of oil revenues. Presently by the president's
order we are working together with IMF on the
strategy for the use of oil revenues of the country.
Our global strategic objective is to minimize
our dependence on oil revenues and diversify the
country economy.
Today we have up-to-date electronic payment system
in Azerbaijan corresponding to the world standards.
The representatives of banking system of some
developing countries have lately been in our bank
and they got interested in this system. We implement
this system with the help of the international
financial insitutions.
Today the banking system is the only sector in
Azerbaijan answering the international standards
in accounting and financial reporting.
Do you think it will improve significantly
the efficiency within the interbank system?
On one hand it enables us to build a supervision
system based on world standards, on the other
hand it lets us implement our project on meeting
international corporate standards in banking sector
and we have already worked out this project together
with PRICE.
We implement the institutional reforms through
the technical cooperation and integration.
Is the National Bank satisfied with the current
level of foreign exchange reserve?
Some years ago we had only $10 mn of foreign
exchange reserves and now it is more than $700
mn. At present it is more than $1.5 bn together
with the Oil Fund's reserves. We expect significant
increase of it in the coming years. And we have
a very efficient management of foreign exchange
reserves. We think that foreign exchange reserve
is very important factor for the national currency
stability and for the economy on the whole.
Do you believe the privatization process will
enhance inflow of foreign investment and at the
same time enable a further increase of foreign
exchange reserve?
I think we have a very good opportunity for that
because we are on the way of new generation of
economic reforms. We consolidate our technical
base to carry out those reforms. Our ideology
is that the state sector must be optimal and not
too large. The government should not be directly
involved in commercial activity. Even in the developed
countries the government is a very bad businessman
and banker. That's why we are planning to carry
out the privatization of the big state banks and
the main goal is to develop market economy in
this sector and foreign investment.
To what extent do you expect total actives
of the Azerbaijani banks to grow over the next
5 years?
We are seeking for our own economic miracle.
Some countries have reached this economic miracle.
By 2015 we are planning to increase our GDP by
4 times. The first increase by 2 times will happen
in 2008. Of course the oil sector will play a
crucial role in it. But we want non-oil sector
to play a significant role in GDP growth. Our
task is to increase the bank assets up to $8-10
bn. We plan to do it in the coming 10-12 years.
For example I would say that such volume of investments
have been attracted by the oil industry. We will
get the main part of the resources by ourselves
but in order to attract foreign investors we have
begun implementation of the 2nd generation of
reforms the aim of which is to standardize all
the elements of the business climate in order
to make it very attractive for the local and foreign
investors.
We are very optimistic and we think to accomplish
all these tasks together with our new president.
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