Russia & Moscow
Providing their potential



Mr. Milov


Interview with Mr. Milov
Deputy Minister for Energy
Moscow, July 15th 2002

 
Reforming and restructuring the energy sector is a priority for Mr Putin. What are your major plans to reform the sector?
The Russian government has a different approach to restructure the different parts of the energy sector. Successful restructuring has already taken place in some sector as for example the coal sector. We can already see the positive results in this sector because it started when the whole sector incurred large losses and was subsidised directly by the state budget whereas it is now almost completely privatised and we saw production growth in the coal sector last year for the first time since reforms began. Companies are profitable as they are investing in new projects and labour productivity trebled since the start of the process. Some social problems, of which the state takes care, remain, but the coal industry restructuring is a success story and a good example for new restructuring efforts.

Other sectors, which are operating within a market economy environment, still function with an organisational structure from the Soviet years. This is one of the key obstacles for development of these sectors such as the electricity and gas sectors. A year ago, the Government adopted a comprehensive program of restructuring the power sector and we should present by the end of the year a new concept of gas market development which will set up the basic directions of the gas sector restructuring.

Although there have been some delays with implementing the electricity sector reform, the process is actively being carried out in three basic directions: first of all a new legislation which we will set up for long term rules for the sector's functioning, secondly the restructuring of companies, thirdly establishing a new competitive electricity market.

Legislation has been submitted to the state Duma by the government and will be considered in September. We hope that the legislation will be adopted this autumn.

Considering the restructuring of the companies, significant progress has already been made with the establishment of new companies at a federal level, which will set the infrastructure for a new market. We expect the two new companies to be operational in the beginning of 2003, once we will have gone through the registration procedures and the property transfer. We are making significant progress in establishing the key players in the wholesale competitive market. We also have to restructure the vertically integrated power sector company called AuEnergo as the un-bundling of these vertically integrated utilities is one of the targets of the reforms. Several new companies will be established on the basis of AuEnergo and this will separate transmission and distribution businesses from generation and energy sales.

Establishing a wholesale competitive market will be pursued in two stages. First of all, we will be creating the infrastructure for a new market and establish the first experimental trade mechanisms using free pricing in localised sectors of the wholesale market. This procedure should start in September. The second stage will be the introduction of a comprehensive wholesale market in which free pricing will be used as a basis to set tariffs.

Will free pricing be used only on the wholesale market or on the whole market including the consumer and corporate sectors?

In a first stage we will be introducing free pricing only for a limited part of the wholesale market, which represents up to 15% of the overall traded electricity. This is likely to take place in 2004. The consumer market will also be liberalised, but there will be limitations based on the amount of consumed electricity: not all the consumers will be allowed to purchase electricity for a free price or choose the supplier, but only those who qualify and comply with the requirements regarding the minimum amount of electricity consumption. This qualification limit will gradually be decreased. In 2006 to 2008, the amount of consumers on the retail market which will work on a free price basis will be relatively large.

One of the main goals of this reform is to make it a more competitive environment and eventually liberalise the market. How do you believe this will help attract more investors and private companies within Russia or foreign investors?

The first step to attract considerable volumes of private investments into the power sector is the removal of administrative barriers, such as regulation in sectors which should be competitive and based on free prices and a free amount of suppliers. There are a large number of limitations and regulations that are set by the state authorities and these will eventually be removed.

The second part is that the sector currently exists of an absolute monopoly situation, which does not promote economic efficiency. We are now restructuring these companies to establish new ones, which are transparent and operate on market-based principles. This should make it more attractive for investors.

So this is the new environment, which will be set up by the governmental reform program. We believe that the interest of investors will further rise as the program is being carried out. We currently can see a rising interest of the largest strategic investments companies of the world, which are asking us for information.

The Ministry is thus actively involved in building up foreign contacts?

Yes and we have a lot of consultations about this. Specific steps are being taken by our Ministry and also by the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade, with whom we work closely together. We have intensive consultations with investors and the measures taken by the government are influenced by these. As an example, before writing the draft legislation concerning the electricity reform, we had a number of interviews with potential strategic investors in this sector and we made a list of basic requirements set by investors for creating comprehensive comfortable environment in this sector. We then took this into account when working on the law.

Russia is about to join the World Trade Organisation. How will this impact the energy sector?

I believe that the energy sector is one of the sectors of the Russian economy which should be the least afraid of a liberalisation of the market.


This first concerns the oil sector as Russian oil companies are already players on the world market. Secondly, Russia is the major supplier of natural gas to Europe and it will rise due to the significant increase of demand from the EU.

This trade with foreign countries has been going on for many years and Gazprom already is a player on the European market. I furthermore believe that there are significant prospects for entering the European electricity trade through the synchronisation of the European and Russian power systems. Russia is also both an importer and exporter in the coal sector.

This means that there are not many limitations in the energy sector, which should be subject of discussion to enter the WTO. In addition to this, G8 countries are now willing to diversify their sources of import for energy and this should be beneficial to Russia.

Nevertheless, are there some companies that are more prepared than others to these upcoming changes?

One of the reasons for restructuring the electricity sector was the poor level of corporate governance in the structures of the companies. We believe that the level of corporate governance and financial management will significantly rise and that new companies in the power sector should be better prepared to enter the world trade system. This is why the government undertakes this restructuring. There are less problems in the oil and coal sectors where private companies are successfully operating. There are some concerns in the electricity and gas sectors and this is why the government considers restructuring, but as soon as this will have been completed, we believe that we will be able enter the world trade system.

That would mean that European companies would compete with Russian companies on the same market?

Gazprom is a supplier and a transporter of gas, not only a reseller. Russian oil represents for instance 21% of the total net imports of the EU, gas represents 41%. So the role of Russian companies on the European market will remain a role of suppliers. Some companies try to compete, and some of them successfully, in the retail market.

Being such an important exporter of both gas and oil, Russia is dependent on world prices. How is this currently affecting the overall economy and the budget? Do you see any alternative strategies to help this situation?

One of the concerns of the governmental policy on energy is to diversify the country's GDP and to rise the role of products with higher added value and we consider this situation where crude exports dominate as a threat to the development of the interests of the country. We will not fight against crude oil production and exports, but will concentrate our efforts on products with a higher added value.

For example, one of the concerns in the oil sector is to support the development of oil refineries in the country and significantly rise the quality of refined products. It is not a secret that Russian petroleum products are of inferior quality and the European market does not always want to import them because of a poor quality. One of the basic structural elements of our program is diversifying the structure of national energy production and exports. I believe that Russian exports of refined petroleum products will rise.

Another issue is the volatility of oil prices and we are developing a comprehensive project of establishing a strategic petroleum reserve in Russia, which will have a different role from the American one for example because we are not dependent on oil imports but should have an instrument to balance the world oil market within the Governments hands.

However, the Russian economy does not depend on oil as much as is being said and we are interested in stable oil prices rather than high prices: a stable price corridor. One of the goals of the strategic oil reserve is to balance the volatility of oil prices.

More and more foreign investors are coming to Russia. Do you see any particular area in the energy sector, where there is more potential for investors than in others?

First of all, I would mention the production of oil products with higher added value, the sector of refining crude oil and developing the infrastructure. I believe that the infrastructure has the highest investment potential in the overall energy sector. The infrastructure in the coal sector is more linked with the railways reform. Investing in infrastructure has one significant advantage - it has guaranteed sales, but if you are a power producer, your power may sometimes be less efficient and will therefore not be bought. Services and infrastructure always have a guaranteed demand. Also the construction of new power stations will be of particular interest to private strategic investors both domestic and foreign.

Looking five years ahead, what do you see as the biggest challenge for the Ministry and for yourself?

Five years from now is the time when the basic disproportions in the Russian energy sector should be removed by structural steps, adopting the new energy legislation, correcting the current taxation system in the energy sector. In five years we should thus be speaking about a new era for the Russian energy sector. There will be a set of regulations adopted for each governmental authority granted some regulatory power. There should be a stable environment for market players. I believe that in five years, these measures will be finished. If this is achieved, then our major challenge will be.

What would be your final message to our readers?

The investment climate in the country is a basis for our contacts with investors. I am meeting with specific companies, bankers and potential investors. The first thing I tell them is that we do not promote specific projects, but we promote the overall climate. I believe that all the measures taken by the new Russian government over the last couple of years are now producing their first specific results. A new environment has been created and the climate is almost favourable. It is thus time for investors not only to study the environment in Russia, but to come and study specific opportunities in specific sectors. If they do not do it now, others will take their share of the market.


Note: WINNE cannot be held responsible for the content of unedited transcriptions.

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